It’s finally the time of year when NBA basketball stops working better than NyQuil… Yes, the season is way too long (and I have several issues with the Front Office intervening with the outcome of games to draw the biggest markets and most favorable matchups in the playoffs, allegedly), but I’m here to waive my white flag (for now).
I actually just want to talk about the game itself for once… and give you my predictions for the ‘10 Finals, now that the season has started…
THE NBA trade deadline is always awesome. I was reading Bill Simmons earlier in the week, and he mentioned how trades nowadays are always about cap space and luxury tax (which is why we knew the Granger for Al Jefferson deal was malarkey). While that may be the case, there were so many important deals that just went down in a matter of 48 hours, which to me, is awesome, whether it be for business reasons or actually trying to improve a roster. Different teams need different things. The Knicks are basically playing for the Free Agent Market of 2010 (deservedly capitalized), got rid of huge contracts, and got a huge expiring contract giving them room for 2 max salaries!! (I can’t wait to see the combination of talent after this year and who goes to what teams… Lebron and Bosh, Dirk and DWade, A’mare and Joe Johnson (who could still be a Sun right now!)), while teams like Dallas are trying to solidify their Western run against the likes of Denver, San Antonio and the Lakers.
Anyway, said huge trades will have some impact on the outcome of the season (if the refs don’t decide… wait… I’m not going there today). Kevin Martin to Houston? Even though they lost Landry, Scola and Hayes can step up, and now they have a great (Ray Allen’ish… I said ‘ish) shooting guard, so Aaron Brooks can focus on his role as Point. Since they somehow stayed in the playoff hunt this long, this should put them into the seventh or eighth spot (because Phoenix for sure will fall out with a pouting Stoudamire).
With Miami failing to land A’mare or Boozer, D Wade decided his hurt calf was now an injury… Expect Milwaukee to take their place in the bottom tier of Eastern Conference playoffs squads. The Bucks also picked up John Salmons, which means they’re starting line up is Jennings, Salmons, Mba-aMoute, Illyasova and Bogut… I like that a lot more than Rafer Alston, Q Rich, fill in the blank, Beasley and J.O. (Wade might hang up the skeaks once they bow out of the hunt… It’s happened before… Just ask my fantasy league in 2007 when I traded Melo for Wade right before Miami shut him down!)
Nate Rob can play some ball again in Boston and McGrady in New York. Butler moving to Dallas was big for them as well, but nothing made a larger impact than Tyrus Thomas to the Bobcats… just kidding…
The real move was Antawn Jamison to the Cavs, which instantly made the them a Finals’ contender, instead of Eastern Conference Finals runner up. This for sure puts them above old and oft’ injured Boston, and Vinceanity can only take Orlando so far unless they start giving the ball to Superman in the post every other, check that, every possession. Atlanta has made a nice run, and has a great chance to make the Eastern Conference Finals if they don’t play Cleveland in the semi’s, but they can’t beat Cleveland (might have just jinxed though so beware).
So I say that these trades have “some” impact on the outcome of the season. They make some teams better, turn some into contenders, and show us who is officially rebuilding (see Washington Wizards)… But they don’t have enough of an impact to change the inevitable. Even at the beginning of the season, we wondered if Boston would be healthy and take the title back, or if LeBron and Shaq would mesh… but we all knew, barring injury, the Lakers would repeat. None of these trades changed that. As a matter of fact, the biggest trade this season was for sure RonRon going to LALA, literally, in the offseason (meaning, figuratively, RON RON has been in LALA land for quite some time).
So here goes my NBA Playoff picks… About as simple as I can make it without drawing brackets… which for all of you who know me, know I surely don’t mind drawing up some brackets… Anyway…
Both current 7 seeds, Phoenix and Miami will be off all summer, making way for Milwaukee and Houston to sneak into the NBA Summer Season (aka the Playoffs, which last an eternity). Other than that, we know Cleveland and LA will take home court, with Boston, Orlando and Atlanta in the East, and Denver, Dallas and Utah in the West, earning home court for the first round… They’ll match up somehow against Toronto, Chicago, Charlotte and Milwaukee in the East, and San Antonio, Portland, Oklahoma City and Houston in the West. I say “somehow” because I don’t expect many upsets in this years playoffs, none that will effect even the Conference Finals, I presume, but get back to me once the match ups are set; which means I won’t bother running down each round right now…
What it all comes down to is this… LeBron v Kobe part 1 (which I not-so-insightfully predicted last year… let’s just say I was anxious). Even with their improvements (don’t forget about Sabastian Telfair at PG) I still don’t think the Cavs will take it, even though the only thing I want more than LeBron to beat Kobe is for Granger and Co to beat both of those dudes…
Which reminds me… I have to find that piece of paper with a list of all the free agents after this season… My friend and I wrote down a bunch of big names that will be free agents, and made a bet on whether or not the Pacers will sign any of them (off the top of my head, I know, LeBron, Wade, Bosh, Dirk, Nash and Joe Johnson are on there). He was skeptical, but I had the Pacers back… At the way things are looking right now, maybe I should have been a bit more skeptical myself.